Frost Advisory - Again
Freeze Warning for Northern Lower Michigan
We have another Frost Advisory/Freeze Warning for areas north of Kent County overnight. The Sunday morning Frost Advisory is for Mason, Oceana, Newaygo, Mecosta and Isabella Counties. The Freeze Warning covers Lake, Osceola and Clare counties to the north. On the maps above and below, the Frost Advisory is in light blue and the Freeze Warning in dark blue.
Most of northern Lower Michigan has a Freeze Warning. It’s a Frost Advisory for the counties that border Lake Huron plus Leelanau County.
It’s likely that parts of Michigan will again see at least Frost Advisories for Sunday night/Monday morning and for Monday night/Tuesday morning.
A warmer pattern is on the way. While it starts cooler than average this week, warmer weather with highs in the 70s (and a day or two in the 80s) is coming for later next week. This is the 8-14 day forecast and most all of the country, including the Great Lakes, is expected to be warmer than average.
Rainfall should be near to above average in Lower Michigan. I’m not seeing any significant, area-wide flood threat as of yet.
The map above is the 3-4 week temperature forecast from the Climate Prediction Center. This is for end of May and the first week of June. We have an equal chance of above or below average temperatures in the Great Lakes.
The rainfall forecast also has an equal chance of above or below average totals in the western Great Lakes.
Today (Sun.) should be a significant severe weather day, focused on the Dallas/Fort Worth area and north central Texas. SPC says: “Large hail (some in excess of 2 inches in diameter) and severe outflow gusts (potentially in excess of 75 mph) will be possible.”
Here’s 3-day total rainfall for Sunday - Tuesday. Lots of showers and storms through much of the South. They need the rain. The West is dry.
Here’s 3-Day Rainfall over the Great Lakes. The Gulf moisture is mostly cut off, so systems passing by in our west-northwest flow will give relatively light amounts of rainfall.
There should be a touch more rain north than south. A query for Grand Rapids rainfall is expected to be 0.1 to 0.2” of rain. Since we’ll be dry today and Monday, this rain will fall on Tuesday.